Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Prediction for Wednesday October 7 2026
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia, on Wednesday, October 7, 2026, for Game 4 of the National League Division Series. First pitch is scheduled for 6:00 PM ET with coverage on FS1. Los Angeles finished the regular season 100-62 overall and 49-32 on the road, while Atlanta went 94-68 overall and 52-29 at home. The Dodgers lead the series 2-1 after taking Game 3 by a 3-1 score Tuesday night and can advance with another victory. DraftKings lists Los Angeles as a -144 moneyline favorite, with Atlanta at +120. The Dodgers are +128 at -1.5 runs, while the Braves are -155 at +1.5. The total is 7.5 runs, with the Over at +104 and Under at -125. Be sure to check out our free MLB picks for more MLB predictions throughout the postseason.
Starting Pitchers
Los Angeles is scheduled to start Tyler Glasnow, although no individual postseason statistics were listed in the information available for this matchup. The right-hander takes the mound with an opportunity to help send the Dodgers to the next round after Los Angeles held Atlanta to just one run in Game 3. The Dodgers finished the regular season with a 3.55 team ERA, 1.14 WHIP and .218 opponent batting average, giving Glasnow the support of a pitching staff that has been difficult to square up throughout the year.
Atlanta counters with Tyler Mahle, who enters at 0-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 1.00 WHIP through seven postseason innings. The right-hander has allowed six hits and one walk while striking out six without surrendering a home run. Those numbers give the Braves a legitimate opportunity to extend the series, but Mahle will need another strong performance against a Los Angeles team that has won four of its last five games.
Los Angeles Moves Within One Win of Advancing
The Dodgers regained control of the series Tuesday with a 3-1 victory in Atlanta. Los Angeles has now won Games 1 and 3, with its only loss coming by a single run in Game 2. The Dodgers have also won four of their last five overall, and three of those victories have come away from home.
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Los Angeles finished the regular season batting .257 with 801 runs, 1,399 hits and 204 home runs. The Dodgers posted a .338 on-base percentage and .424 slugging percentage. They hold significant advantages over Atlanta in batting average, runs scored, hits, on-base percentage and slugging percentage despite the teams finishing tied with 204 home runs.
The pitching numbers also favor Los Angeles. The Dodgers finished with a 3.55 ERA and 1.14 WHIP while holding opponents to a .218 batting average. The staff recorded 1,521 strikeouts against 480 walks. Los Angeles has now held Atlanta to seven total runs through the first three games, and Tuesday's one-run performance was the strongest defensive effort of the series.
Atlanta Has Its Season on the Line
Atlanta's excellent regular-season home record hasn't translated into an immediate advantage in this series. The Braves went 52-29 at Truist Park but managed only one run in Tuesday's first home game of the NLDS. They now need consecutive victories to prevent Los Angeles from advancing.
The Braves hit .246 with 742 runs, 1,348 hits and 204 home runs during the regular season. They posted a .309 on-base percentage and .409 slugging percentage. Atlanta possesses enough power to change a game quickly, but the offense hasn't consistently solved Los Angeles pitching. The Braves have scored three, three and one run in the first three games.
Atlanta finished with a 3.63 team ERA and 1.24 WHIP while holding opponents to a .234 batting average. The staff recorded 1,350 strikeouts against 529 walks. The pitching has done enough to keep Atlanta competitive, with every game decided by two runs or fewer. The problem has been producing enough offense to take advantage of those performances.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Prediction
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline (-144)
Los Angeles -144 is the side pick. The Dodgers hold the 2-1 series advantage, have won four of their last five games and possess the stronger full-season statistical profile on both sides of the ball. Atlanta's 52-29 home record and strong Game 4 starting-pitching numbers make the Braves dangerous, but Los Angeles has already demonstrated that it can win at Truist Park. The Dodgers have also limited Atlanta to seven runs across three games. Rather than laying the -1.5 in a series where every game has been close, I'll take Los Angeles on the moneyline to finish the series.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-125)
The Under 7.5 is my stronger play. Game 1 finished with eight runs, but Games 2 and 3 produced only five and four, respectively. Atlanta has yet to score more than three runs in a game during the series, while Los Angeles has scored five, two and three. The Braves' Game 4 starter enters with a 1.29 ERA and 1.00 WHIP through seven postseason innings, and Los Angeles finished the regular season with a 3.55 team ERA. With Atlanta facing elimination and the series increasingly being decided by pitching, another game in the 3-2 or 4-2 range makes sense.
Final Picks: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline (-144) and Under 7.5 (-125)
This preview was completed on October 7, 2026. Starting pitchers, betting lines and other game information are subject to change before the game begins.
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