Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Picks and Predictions for Sunday October 11 2026
The Chicago Bears visit the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin, on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET. Chicago enters at 3-1 after beating the New York Jets 23-12, while Green Bay is also 3-1 following a 17-14 road victory over Tampa Bay. This is one of Sunday’s more intriguing divisional games, with both NFC North teams entering off victories. Be sure to check out our free NFL picks for more NFL predictions throughout the season.
Chicago Has Quietly Put Together a Strong Start
Chicago improved to 3-1 by controlling the Jets 23-12. The Bears didn’t need an explosive offensive performance because their defense kept New York from developing any consistent rhythm.
That formula becomes more difficult at Lambeau Field, but it gives Chicago a legitimate chance to stay within the number. The Bears have shown they can win without requiring everything to go perfectly offensively.
This is also a divisional game where getting points carries additional value. Chicago doesn’t need to be better than Green Bay for four quarters; it needs to prevent the Packers from creating significant separation.
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Green Bay Returns Home at 3-1
Green Bay’s 17-14 victory at Tampa Bay wasn’t spectacular, but road divisional-quality wins rarely need to be. The Packers did enough defensively to protect the lead and improved to 3-1.
The offense wasn’t overwhelming, which is worth remembering before laying a substantial spread against Chicago. Green Bay should have advantages at Lambeau Field, but the Bears’ defense has been good enough to make this uncomfortable.
The Packers are still the more trustworthy team outright. The question for bettors is whether they’re enough better to win comfortably against another 3-1 team.
Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Picks and Predictions
Pick: Chicago Bears ATS
I’m taking Chicago with the points. Both teams enter at 3-1, and Chicago’s defense just held New York to 12 points. Green Bay deserves to be favored at Lambeau Field, but its 17-point performance at Tampa Bay doesn’t make me eager to lay a large number against a division rival playing good football. The Bears have enough defensively to keep this within one possession.
Pick: Under
The Under is the total pick. Chicago’s latest game produced 35 combined points, while Green Bay and Tampa Bay combined for only 31. Both defenses are coming off strong performances, and neither offense needs to force an aggressive tempo. A physical NFC North matchup landing somewhere around 23-20 makes sense.
Final Picks: Chicago Bears ATS and Under
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