The Mad Russian Picks, Betting Predictions, and Capper Bio
MR
Consultant Bio
Jeff Petch, known as The Mad Russian, is an NFL-only handicapper with one of the strongest documented contest résumés in football betting. In 2021, he tied for 1st in the Circa Sports Million III, cashing $325,000 with a 63-27 (70%) record, the best single-season record in Circa Sports Million history. He owns a 299-221-15 (57%) lifetime Circa Sports Million record, finished 13th in the 2020 Circa Sports Million II at 53-31-1 (63%), and won the 2023 Circa Friday Football Invitational on VSiN, earning the coveted Green Jacket.
58.33% Win Rate(14-10-1)+8.43 units+$843 profit
MR
MR
Consultant Bio
Jeff Petch, known as The Mad Russian, is an NFL-only handicapper with one of the strongest documented contest résumés in football betting. In 2021, he tied for 1st in the Circa Sports Million III, cashing $325,000 with a 63-27 (70%) record, the best single-season record in Circa Sports Million history. He owns a 299-221-15 (57%) lifetime Circa Sports Million record, finished 13th in the 2020 Circa Sports Million II at 53-31-1 (63%), and won the 2023 Circa Friday Football Invitational on VSiN, earning the coveted Green Jacket.
58.33% Win Rate(14-10-1)+8.43 units+$843 profit
MR
5% NFL WEEK 4 SUNDAY ALL-ACCESS WITH LONDON GAME, SNF & FUTURES PLAY: 8 TOTAL PLAYS / 10-4 LAST-14 NFL
INCLUDES (1) 5%, (5) 4% & (2) 3% / +59 UNITS ON 4% PLAYS SINCE 11/13/25 / 13-5 LAST-18 NFL ML PLAYS / CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) RECORD / EXCLUSIVELY NFL HANDICAPPER / VSiN/CIRCA FRIDAY FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL CHAMP & GREEN JACKET WINNER
- CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) record, the highest all-time and tied for 1st place in the 2021 Circa Sports Million III - 2021 7th place in the Westgate Super contest with a 58-30-2 (66%) record, cashing $18,469. - 2020 placed 13th in the Circa Sports Million II contest with a 53-31-1 (63%), cashing $10,535. - Received an invitation to square off against 15 professional handicappers in the 2023 Circa Friday Football Invitational on VSiN Sports Betting Network, where he clenched the coveted Green Jacket victory and cashed $15,000. - Mad Russian holds a lifetime record of 299-221-15 (57%) in the Circa Sports Million contests
#1 FUTURES 2-YEARS STRAIGHT ON NFL REGULAR SEASON
+41 UNITS IN NFL SINCE 11/2/25
64% ON NFL PROPS LAST YEAR
17-7 LAST-24 ON THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ATS OR ML
14-5 LAST-19 FREE PLAYS
🏈 NFL Leaderboard
58.33% Winning (14-10)
5% NFL WEEK 4 TOP PLAY LONDON GAME!!! COLTS VS COMMANDERS (10-4 LAST-14 NFL)
13-5 LAST-18 NFL ML PLAYS / +59 UNITS ON 4% PLAYS SINCE 11/13/25 / EXCLUSIVELY NFL HANDICAPPER / CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) RECORD / VSiN/CIRCA FRIDAY FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL CHAMP & GREEN JACKET WINNER
- CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) record, the highest all-time and tied for 1st place in the 2021 Circa Sports Million III - 2021 7th place in the Westgate Super contest with a 58-30-2 (66%) record, cashing $18,469. - 2020 placed 13th in the Circa Sports Million II contest with a 53-31-1 (63%), cashing $10,535. - Received an invitation to square off against 15 professional handicappers in the 2023 Circa Friday Football Invitational on VSiN Sports Betting Network, where he clenched the coveted Green Jacket victory and cashed $15,000. - Mad Russian holds a lifetime record of 299-221-15 (57%) in the Circa Sports Million contests
#1 FUTURES 2-YEARS STRAIGHT ON NFL REGULAR SEASON
+41 UNITS IN NFL SINCE 11/2/25
64% ON NFL PROPS LAST YEAR
17-7 LAST-24 ON THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ATS OR ML
14-5 LAST-19 FREE PLAYS
🏈 NFL Leaderboard
58.33% Winning (14-10)
NFL WEEK 4 SUNDAY ALL-ACCESS W/ SNF & FUTURES PLAY: 6 TOTAL PLAYS / 10-4 LAST-14 NFL (W/O LONDON GAME)
INCLUDES (4) 4% & (2) 3% / +59 UNITS ON 4% PLAYS SINCE 11/13/25 / 13-5 LAST-18 NFL ML PLAYS / CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) RECORD / EXCLUSIVELY NFL HANDICAPPER / VSiN/CIRCA FRIDAY FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL CHAMP & GREEN JACKET WINNER
- CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) record, the highest all-time and tied for 1st place in the 2021 Circa Sports Million III - 2021 7th place in the Westgate Super contest with a 58-30-2 (66%) record, cashing $18,469. - 2020 placed 13th in the Circa Sports Million II contest with a 53-31-1 (63%), cashing $10,535. - Received an invitation to square off against 15 professional handicappers in the 2023 Circa Friday Football Invitational on VSiN Sports Betting Network, where he clenched the coveted Green Jacket victory and cashed $15,000. - Mad Russian holds a lifetime record of 299-221-15 (57%) in the Circa Sports Million contests
#1 FUTURES 2-YEARS STRAIGHT ON NFL REGULAR SEASON
+41 UNITS IN NFL SINCE 11/2/25
64% ON NFL PROPS LAST YEAR
17-7 LAST-24 ON THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ATS OR ML
14-5 LAST-19 FREE PLAYS
🏈 NFL Leaderboard
58.33% Winning (14-10)
4% SNF LIONS AT PANTHERS (+59 UNITS ON 4% PLAYS SINCE 11/13/25)
13-5 LAST-18 NFL ML PLAYS / CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) RECORD / +41 UNITS IN NFL SINCE 11/2/25 / EXCLUSIVELY NFL HANDICAPPER / FRIDAY FOOTBALL INVITATIONAL CHAMP & GREEN JACKET WINNER!!
- CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) record, the highest all-time and tied for 1st place in the 2021 Circa Sports Million III - 2021 7th place in the Westgate Super contest with a 58-30-2 (66%) record, cashing $18,469. - 2020 placed 13th in the Circa Sports Million II contest with a 53-31-1 (63%), cashing $10,535. - Received an invitation to square off against 15 professional handicappers in the 2023 Circa Friday Football Invitational on VSiN Sports Betting Network, where he clenched the coveted Green Jacket victory and cashed $15,000. - Mad Russian holds a lifetime record of 299-221-15 (57%) in the Circa Sports Million contests
#1 FUTURES 2-YEARS STRAIGHT ON NFL REGULAR SEASON
64% ON NFL PROPS LAST YEAR
17-7 LAST-24 ON THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ATS OR ML
14-5 LAST-19 FREE PLAYS
🏈 NFL Leaderboard
58.33% Winning (14-10)
NFL
🏈 NFL Leaderboard
58.33% Winning (14-10)
Free Picks
Game SelectionThe PLAY:Game Time
NFL1:00pm EDT Oct 4, 2026
(253) New England Patriots at (254) Buffalo Bills: Spread
The Play
4% New England Patriots +7.0 (-115)
(253) New England Patriots at (254) Buffalo Bills: Spread
NFL
4% New England Patriots +7.0 (-115)
1:00pm EDT - Oct 4, 2026
NFL1:00pm EDT Oct 4, 2026
(253) New England Patriots at (254) Buffalo Bills: Spread
The Play
4% New England Patriots +7.0 (-115)
(253) New England Patriots at (254) Buffalo Bills: Spread
NFL
4% New England Patriots +7.0 (-115)
1:00pm EDT - Oct 4, 2026
(253) New England Patriots at (254) Buffalo Bills: Spread ***This is a 4% Client Release Play***
4% New England Patriots +7.0 (-115)
Use promo code MADRUSSIAN30 to save 30% on ALL Mad Russian products and special offers through Oct. 31st at midnight.
14-5 LAST-19 FREE PLAYS / +59 UNITS ON 4% PLAYS SINCE 11/13/25 / / 13-5 LAST-18 NFL ML PLAYS / CASHED $325,000 w/ 63-27 (70%) RECORD / EXCLUSIVELY NFL HANDICAPPER / GREEN JACKET WINNER
Here is my full video breakdown and analysis on YouTube:
If you can’t see the link, search YouTube for: The Mad Russian Wagertalk
I’m taking the full touchdown with New England in a divisional matchup that has been much tighter than the perception of these two teams would suggest.
The last SIX meetings between New England and Buffalo have all been decided by one possession.
And we don’t have to go very far back for proof that New England can compete in this building. Last October, the Patriots went into Buffalo as an underdog and won outright, 23-20. Drake Maye completed 22-of-30 passes for 273 yards and led the game-winning drive.
Here’s another number I absolutely love in this spot:
New England was a PERFECT 8-0 on the road during the 2025 regular season, then won another road game in the postseason to finish 9-0 away from home.
They became the ONLY TEAM IN NFL HISTORY to finish a season 9-0 on the road.
So going into Buffalo and competing in this environment is nothing new for this group.
The Patriots were embarrassed 35-6 last week in Jacksonville, and I actually like this setup because of it.
One of the situations I’m always interested in is a good-to-great team, with a good-to-great coach and a good-to-great quarterback, coming off a humiliating performance the week before.
Those teams spend the entire week hearing about how bad they looked, what’s wrong with them and whether they’ve been exposed.
With Mike Vrabel and Drake Maye, I trust the response.
Vrabel-coached teams are 26-17-4 ATS following a loss, including 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10.
Maye is also 8-3 ATS outdoors coming off a loss, including 8-2 ATS in his last 10 qualifying games.
Buffalo is 3-0, but I don’t think the Bills have played nearly as cleanly as that record suggests.
They committed FIVE turnovers last week against the Chargers and didn’t take their first lead until the fourth quarter.
Through three weeks, Buffalo has also committed 25 penalties for 219 yards, nearly 73 penalty yards per game.
That matters when we’re catching a full touchdown.
I’m not asking New England to be the better team for 60 minutes. I’m asking them to stay within one score against a familiar divisional opponent that has been making mistakes and giving opponents extra possessions.
There is one injury situation I’m watching closely. Christian Gonzalez, Christian Barmore and Morgan Moses have all missed practice time for New England, while Buffalo CB Christian Benford has also been dealing with a toe injury. Drake Maye has practiced fully despite his shoulder designation.
New England got humiliated last week, but this is still a talented team with a coach and quarterback I trust to respond.
Add in a team that went a historic 9-0 away from home last season, six consecutive meetings in this rivalry decided by one possession, and a full touchdown in our pocket and I think this is a very strong bounce-back spot.