Terry Edelmann Picks, Betting Predictions, and Capper Bio

This is a 2% PLAY

Play: (GB) Christian Watson Anytime Touchdown (+175) at Fanduel

Christian Watson has become Jordan Love’s favorite scoring weapon, and I like him to find the end zone again against Tampa Bay. Watson has now scored a touchdown in five consecutive games played going back to last season, scoring against Baltimore and Chicago in the playoffs before finding the end zone in each of Green Bay’s first three games this season.

Watson has been one of the hottest receivers in football to start 2026, catching 17 passes for 284 yards and four touchdowns through three games. He has scored twice against Minnesota before adding touchdowns against the Jets and Falcons, while receiving 29 targets, showing that his production is being supported by consistent volume rather than just a few big plays.

Touchdowns have always been a major part of Watson’s game. He scored six touchdowns in only 10 regular-season games last year, and his combination of 6-foot-4 size and elite speed makes him dangerous both in the red zone and on explosive plays. Green Bay has also been designing opportunities specifically for Watson near the goal line, giving him multiple ways to cash an anytime touchdown prop.

With Watson scoring in five straight games played, already recording four touchdowns through three games this season, and continuing to operate as one of Jordan Love’s primary targets, I like Christian Watson to score an Anytime Touchdown against Tampa Bay.

This is a 3% PLAY

Play: (SF) Brock Purdy Over 17.5 Rush Yards (-113) at Fanduel

Brock Purdy has quietly become extremely consistent with his legs, and I like him to go Over 17.5 rushing yards against Denver. Purdy has cleared this number in seven consecutive games, rushing for at least 21 yards in every one of them. He has been especially productive to begin this season with 29, 30 and 34 rushing yards, averaging 31.0 rushing yards per game.

Purdy has needed only 10 rushing attempts to produce 93 yards through three games, averaging an impressive 9.3 yards per carry. He doesn't need designed quarterback runs to clear a number this low; his ability to escape pressure, take open running lanes and scramble on passing downs gives him multiple opportunities to pick up yards throughout the game.

The matchup also sets up well. Denver enters Week 4 allowing 143.7 rushing yards per game, the third-most in the NFL, while opponents are averaging 5.1 yards per carry against the Broncos. San Francisco's offense has already averaged 136.3 rushing yards per game, and Denver has consistently struggled to contain opponents on the ground through its first three games.

With Purdy clearing 17.5 rushing yards in seven straight games, averaging 31 rushing yards through the first three weeks and facing one of the league's weakest run defenses so far, I like Brock Purdy Over 17.5 Rushing Yards against Denver.

(I would play up to 23.5)